MACRO & INVESTING

Macro and markets commentary, investing strategy

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Global growth in 2025: views from BNY
MACRO | ECONOMICS

BNY's iFlow "Mood" Index, tracking investor flows across equities and bonds, is trending up after hitting its lowest point since the pandemic, signaling a resilient U.S. economy in 2025. Across the globe, opportunities for growth are mixed but setting the stage for incoming governments to pursue pro-growth policies via private sector funding.

 

Vantage Point 1Q 2025: Rekindling the Cycle
MACRO | ECONOMICS

Fueled by easing monetary policy and supportive fiscal policy, growth expectations for many regions signal a 50% probability for a “new cycle” in 2025. However, recession risk remains, and along with uncertainty around implementation and timing of fiscal policy, a soft landing or shallow recession scenario cannot be ruled out. The latest Vantage Point from the BNY Investment Institute charts forecasts for three possible economic scenarios in 2025.

 

Capital Markets Assumptions: Above the noise
ANALYSIS | INVESTMENT STRATEGY

BNY Investment Institute breaks down significant secular themes and possible return expectations for the next 10 years across 50 asset classes to help investors design long-term portfolios.

iFlow 2025 Outlook: Getting the Balance right
MACRO | ECONOMICS

BNY reflects on the key trends that affected investors throughout 2024. These takeaways influence how to identify emerging themes for 2025 and what investors need to be aware of going forward.

2025 Outlook: Runway in sight
MACRO | ECONOMICS

BNY Wealth shares economic and market-related expectations for the next 12 months, covering global and domestic factors such as inflation, growth and investment opportunities across asset classes.

A unified capital market for Europe
MACRO | EUROPE

EU leaders are working to develop a continental capital markets union that can reinvigorate the European economy by guaranteeing the free movement of people, goods, services and capital across nations. Despite remarkable progress, there are still numerous barriers that stand in its way.